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Stochastic control of ecological networks

Stochastic control of ecological networks

Date19th Jan 2022

Time06:00 PM

Venue https://meet.google.com/roc-pyjn-dbi

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Details

The aim of the following work is to model the maintenance of ecological networks in forest environments, built from bioreserves, patches and corridors, when these grids are subject to random processes such as extreme natural events. The management plan consists in providing both temporary and sustainable habitats to migratory species. It also aims at ensuring connectivity between the natural areas without interruption. After presenting the random graph-theoretic framework, we apply the stochastic optimal control to the graph dynamics. Our results show that the preservation of the network architecture cannot be achieved, under stochastic control, over the entire duration. It can only be accomplished, at the cost of sacrificing the links between the patches, by increasing usage of the control devices. This would have a negative effect on the species migration by causing congestion among the channels left at their disposal. The optimal scenario, in which the shadow price is at its lowest and all connections are well-preserved, occurs at half of the course, be it the only optimal stopping moment found on the stochastic optimal trajectories. The optimal forestry policy thus has to cut down the timing of the practices devoted to biodiversity protection by half.

Speakers

Dr. Arnaud Z Dragicevic

pCoE on Complex Systems and Dynamics